The Democratization of Expertise
The current explosion of Artificial Intelligence is often viewed through a narrow lens of market capital and automated efficiency. At AIxponential, we believe the true promise of AI is far more profound: it is the democratization of expertise.
For the first time in history, Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) in any field - from history to horticulture - have the power to leverage the full breadth of software and code. We are moving toward a world where the ability to build and create is limited only by our ability to imagine and describe.
Navigating the "Peak of Mount Stupid"
In my opinion, we are in the middle of a rapidly changing technology environment with respect to AI. Advances are occurring so rapidly that knowledge that was state of the art several months ago becomes obsolete. Experiences with tools from several months ago are no longer relevant as rapid iteration of capabilities have moved the dial and become faster, better, and easier.
What this means is that as a society, we are currently navigating the Dunning-Kruger effect at scale. All of us, myself included are frequently finding ourselves at the "Peak of Mount Stupid" - that precarious point where we know just enough to be dangerous, but not enough to be truly wise.
We invest time into obtaining greater knowledge and find that after a month, those learnings and experiences have become obsolete and we start yet again on a revised and updated journey. It's scary and exciting in the same breath, but looking beyond software development, the landscape is littered with gems, detritus, and slop.
Navigating this landscape is daunting, so we see all the typical behaviors observed in periods of rapid change... denial, mania, anxiety, anger... If we want to find some historical parallels, my favorite is described by Dan Carlin in his podcast "Prophets of Doom". The period described is the circumstances after Martin Luther unleashes Pandora's Box which coincided with the Printing Press.
For some people, AI has thrown a cat into the pigeons, for others it is the best thing since sliced bread, and if you believe the hype it will lead to the obsolescence of the knowledge worker. These all maybe right, but from my perspective the most important goal needs to be solving problems like human suffering, human happiness, creating an equitable society, and preserving stability.
We all may differ on the relative priority of each of these, but considering the world around us, these seem to absorb most of the time, money, and discourse of our society. That's a long-winded way of saying what should be the goal of using AI, and that is what I formed AIxponential to explore.
At AIxponential, we approach this with radical humility, recognizing that progress requires us to admit when we are wrong and to relentlessly pursue "better", "wiser", and "fairer".
Empowering the Architects of Learning
Part of the circumstances we are in now is due to the massive economic investment in AI. One side effect: it prioritizes "black box," packaged delivery vehicles designed for monetization. This creates a sales urgency looming over the potential of the technology.
A key area of investment is the people who are effectively providing the picks and shovels of the workforce that will be needed in the Post-Knowledge Era. I am referring to the Instructional Designers, Teachers, Educational institutions, Trainers, and Designers who will be helping sort through the signal to noise and inspiring the vision of the people who will be using the technology.
Our educators will need to help us navigate through the complex path of what the state of knowledge at a given time asserts to be the best, but it's important to remember that in hindsight we are going to reflect on some of these recommendations in the same way that we look back at Radium tonic, Mercury for Teething powders, Lobotomies, Bloodletting, and Tobacco Smoke Enemas. There will be mistakes but doing nothing can also be a mistake.
